Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 3.092296 3.695415 4.369112 5.175100 6.110685 7.159958 8.423205
2025-11-02 2.123616 2.861145 3.772991 4.973923 6.503470 8.374972 10.825238
2025-11-09 1.545265 2.306081 3.330537 4.790835 6.795016 9.421728 13.091703
2025-11-16 1.220771 1.989760 3.103335 4.799282 7.274335 10.703576 15.749620
2025-11-23 0.991011 1.749062 2.920431 4.811267 7.721475 11.949657 18.449468
2025-11-30 0.807354 1.535265 2.729900 4.763726 8.047985 13.026022 20.979867
2025-12-07 0.634126 1.298771 2.456277 4.531590 8.040995 13.578601 22.753968
2025-12-14 0.529086 1.159468 2.317713 4.492419 8.322405 14.581662 25.283917
2025-12-21 0.447702 1.046694 2.204584 4.474704 8.626260 15.633393 27.962883
2025-12-28 0.413223 1.020754 2.246550 4.738204 9.439252 17.586714 32.261951
2026-01-04 0.368662 0.963643 2.217681 4.861426 10.007631 19.164461 36.043473
2026-01-11 0.337887 0.930738 2.231498 5.066496 10.743121 21.085502 40.547838
2026-01-18 0.292530 0.855207 2.146886 5.068572 11.104647 22.391713 44.117163
2026-01-25 0.240841 0.751676 1.983552 4.883773 11.079203 22.988447 46.464449
2026-02-01 0.198630 0.661885 1.834954 4.707441 11.046537 23.561180 48.801770
2026-02-08 0.173503 0.612796 1.774088 4.716933 11.396691 24.889490 52.640599
2026-02-15 0.152083 0.568903 1.718176 4.729098 11.751179 26.249960 56.631117
2026-02-22 0.131170 0.520766 1.642457 4.682392 11.969086 27.349414 60.184102
2026-03-01 0.106652 0.453351 1.501823 4.453826 11.749678 27.530619 61.921270
2026-03-08 0.092351 0.416599 1.439598 4.415263 11.962843 28.628023 65.577698
2026-03-15 0.080661 0.385666 1.388344 4.397822 12.222811 29.842213 69.550920
2026-03-22 0.077699 0.387541 1.436736 4.657307 13.180183 32.638988 77.001519
2026-03-29 0.071423 0.374258 1.435562 4.778659 13.806527 34.747268 83.118803